Confusion Mounts in Guinea-Bissau as Both Candidates Declare Victory

November 25, 2025

2 minutes read

Guinea-Bissau

A tense political standoff has developed in Guinea-Bissau following Sunday’s presidential election. Before the electoral commission could release a single official figure, both leading candidates have declared themselves the winner, plunging the nation into uncertainty.

The race, which pitted incumbent President Umaro Sissoco Embaló against his main challenger, Fernando Dias, has now moved from the ballot box to a war of words.

Dueling Claims

The camp of Fernando Dias was the first to break the silence. His team issued a statement claiming victory, asserting that the opposition had secured enough support to unseat the current administration.

However, agents representing President Embaló quickly fired back with a counter-claim. They insisted that the incumbent had secured a decisive victory with more than 50 percent of the vote.

If confirmed, this margin would grant Embaló an immediate second term, eliminating the need for a risky runoff election.

A Fragile Political Climate

These premature and conflicting declarations threaten to upset the stability of the small West African nation. Guinea-Bissau has a long and troubled history of political volatility, including frequent military takeovers, making the current confusion particularly dangerous.

The election was already viewed as one of the most contentious in recent memory. Tensions were high leading up to the vote due to the controversial exclusion of the country’s main opposition party from the ballot.

The Power Players

Fernando Dias’s candidacy gained significant momentum after receiving the backing of the African Party for the Independence of Guinea and Cape Verde (PAIGC). He also carries the endorsement of former Prime Minister Domingos Simões Pereira, a political heavyweight whose own bid for the presidency was rejected on technical grounds.

On the other side, President Embaló is chasing history. If the official results validate his claim, he will become the first leader in Guinea-Bissau to secure a second term in three decades a feat that highlights the chronic instability the nation has faced.

As the country waits for the electoral commission to clarify the true outcome, security forces and citizens alike remain on high alert.


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