Turkiye’s Growing Influence in Africa: A Strategic Power Play

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan once declared: “Turkiye wants to walk alongside Africa as a new world order is being established.” This statement underscores Ankara’s proactive approach toward Africa as global power dynamics shift.

The African continent is undergoing a significant geopolitical transformation. With France withdrawing military forces from the Sahel and West Africa, a power vacuum has emerged. Global players like the US, China, and Russia are maneuvering to fill this gap, and Turkiye is strategically positioning itself to gain economic and diplomatic leverage.

As a middle power, Turkiye has certain advantages over larger nations grappling with geopolitical shifts in the Middle East and beyond. While its ability to compete directly with major global actors remains limited, its growing footprint in Africa reflects a calculated move toward increased influence.

Turkiye’s Strategy for Gaining Influence in Africa

Turkiye’s expansion in Africa is shaped by economic ambitions, security commitments, and diplomatic maneuvers. The establishment of a $50 million military base in Mogadishu, Somalia, is a prime example of Ankara’s strategic vision. Similar to US and Chinese bases in Djibouti, this presence enhances Turkiye’s access to the Indian Ocean and strengthens its regional foothold.

The withdrawal of Western military forces from Africa has opened new doors for Turkiye. While Russia and China are heavily invested in expanding their influence, Ankara has taken a more balanced approach, blending economic partnerships with defense cooperation. The rise of Turkiye as a key player is further reflected in its security agreements with African nations and its supply of military equipment, including drones to Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Chad.

Economic Partnerships: The Backbone of Turkiye’s Africa Policy

Economic collaboration remains a cornerstone of Turkiye’s engagement with Africa. Over the past two decades, Turkiye has expanded its diplomatic presence on the continent, increasing its embassies from 12 to 44. The annual Turkiye-Africa Summit further solidifies its commitment to strengthening ties.

Trade between Turkiye and Africa has surged dramatically, rising from $1.35 billion in 2003 to $12.4 billion in 2023. African nations recognize Turkiye’s value as a trade partner, with countries like Uganda and Tanzania actively inviting Turkish investments in energy, shipbuilding, and port development.

Beyond economic deals, Turkiye fosters South-South cooperation through investments in education and infrastructure. The country offers scholarships to African students, reinforcing its soft power approach to diplomatic engagement.

The Balance Between Military Influence and Soft Power

While military cooperation is an essential component of Turkiye’s Africa policy, Ankara aims to maintain a balanced approach. Security partnerships are critical for sustaining economic growth in unstable regions, yet Turkiye seeks to avoid being perceived solely as a military actor.

By integrating humanitarian aid, education programs, and mediation efforts into its strategy, Turkiye differentiates itself from other global players. The country has played a role in mediating conflicts, such as between Ethiopia and Somalia, and has expressed interest in brokering peace between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Political scientist Joseph Nye famously noted that both hard power and soft power serve the same ultimate goal. Turkiye exemplifies this philosophy by blending diplomacy, trade, and military cooperation to expand its presence in Africa. This multi-faceted approach has already yielded significant results, with African students and diplomats in Turkiye ascending to influential political roles in their home countries.

Conclusion: Turkiye’s Path Forward in Africa

Turkiye’s engagement in Africa is a double-edged sword, presenting both opportunities and challenges. As Ankara seeks to navigate the complexities of the continent’s political and economic landscape, it must ensure that its approach remains sustainable.

The Sahel and West Africa are competitive arenas where global and regional powers vie for influence. While this provides Turkiye with strategic incentives to deepen its involvement, it also limits its maneuverability. However, with a calculated mix of economic investments, security cooperation, and diplomatic engagement, Turkiye is steadily carving out a significant role in Africa’s evolving geopolitical order.