Japan Coalition Crumbles, Jeopardizing Takaichi’s PM Bid

On October 10, 2025, Japan’s ruling coalition dissolved as Komeito withdrew. Thus, Sanae Takaichi’s path to becoming the first female prime minister faces uncertainty.

Komeito’s Bold Move

Komeito leader Tetsuo Saito announced the end of the 25-year LDP-Komeito partnership. “We cannot support Takaichi,” Saito said, citing unmet reform demands and LDP’s slush fund issues.

Takaichi’s Leadership Challenge

Takaichi assumed LDP head last week, succeeding Shigeru Ishiba. However, Komeito’s exit risks her parliamentary approval, plunging Japan into a political crisis.

Economic Ripples Spread

The yen weakened against the dollar, and the Nikkei fell 1.0%. Therefore, the coalition’s collapse signals instability for Japan’s markets and governance.

Unresolved Demands

Saito criticized Takaichi’s responses to the LDP scandal. “No clear cooperation on reforms,” he stated. Moreover, Komeito will still back budget and legislation.

Ishiba’s Coalition Loss

Ishiba’s group lost parliamentary majorities due to voter anger over inflation and scandals. This paved the way for Takaichi’s run, now threatened by the coalition’s end.

Conservative Shift Sparks Tensions

Komeito opposed Takaichi’s conservative views, including Yasukuni shrine visits. Abe’s 2013 visit angered neighbors, and Takaichi may skip the October 17-19 festival.

Takaichi’s Runoff Victory

Takaichi, 64 and inspired by Margaret Thatcher, beat Shinjiro Koizumi in the LDP contest. Koizumi, 44, represented youth, but Takaichi’s win now hangs in balance.

LDP Support Erosion

Smaller parties like anti-immigration Sanseito gain traction. The LDP’s declining support complicates Takaichi’s bid, highlighting Japan’s political shifts.

Complex Issues Await

If elected, Takaichi faces aging population, geopolitical tensions, economic woes, and immigration debates. Thus, her leadership would demand swift action.

Trump Visit Looms

Takaichi’s first task could be hosting US President Donald Trump in late October. The coalition crisis adds pressure to her potential premiership in 2025.

Uncertain Path Ahead

The coalition’s collapse tests Japan’s stability. Takaichi’s PM bid remains in flux, with Komeito’s exit reshaping the political landscape.

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